ИСТИНА

The spatio-temporal model of megacities development concerning them as an active media is presented. From our point of view, the process of urban ecosystem developing is advisable to consider from the standpoint of the theory of autowave self-organization in active media. According to this concept, urban ecosystem is considered as interacting with each other natural and anthropogenic subsystems with significant heterogeneity of areas affected by human intervention and urban geobiocoenoses. The model was tested on example of Moscow expansion in 1952 -1968 and showed good agreement with the map data. By means of the model the prediction for Shanghai and surrounding territory development until 2030 was made.