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ИСТИНА ЦЭМИ РАН |
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The approach originally developed for the investigation of the traffic, that is, the intensities of information flows in financial markets, is applied for the statistical analysis of climatic data. The statistical regularities in the behavior of sensible and latent turbulent heat fluxes recomputed from 6-hourly NCEP-NCAR for the period 1948 - 2008 in Atlantic are analyzed. It is proposed to represent these regularities by probability distributions that are mixtures of several normal (Gaussian) laws with parameters varying in time. The method of moving separation of mixtures is used to obtain the values of the parameters of the mixtures. This approach allows to analyze the regularities in the variation of the parameters and, hence, to capture the low-term variability which can be considered as a trend and high-term dynamics associated with diffusion or irregular variability.