Аннотация:ABSTRACT
The present article analyzes the world order in the past, present and
future as well as the main factors, foundations and ideas underlying
the establishment and change of the international and global order.
The first two sections investigate the evolution of the world order
starting from the ancient times up to the late twentieth century.
The third section analyzes the origin and decline of the world order
based on the American hegemony. The authors reveal the contradictions
of the current unipolar world and explain in what way globalization
has become more profitable for the developing countries but
not for the developed ones. In the paper it is also shown why the belief
is strengthening that the US leading status will inevitably weaken.
In this connection we discuss the alternatives of the American
strategy and the possibility of the renaissance of the American leadership.
The last section presents a factor analysis which allows stating
that the world is shifting toward a new balance of power and is
likely to become the world without a leader. The new world order
will consist of a number of large blocks, coalitions and countries
acting within a certain framework of rules and mutual responsibility.
However, the transition to a new world order will take certain time
(about two decades). This period, which we call the epoch of new
coalitions, will involve a reconfiguration of the World System and
bring an increasing turbulence and conflict intensity.