Medium-Term Prediction of Relativistic Electron Fluxes on a Geostationary Orbit via Machine Learning Based on Observation Data on Coronal Holesстатья
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Дата последнего поиска статьи во внешних источниках: 17 июля 2020 г.
Аннотация:The model proposed in this work for the forecasting of integral daily fluxes (fluences) of relativistic electrons (E > 2 MeV) of the Earth’s outer radiation belt on a geostationary orbit uses images of the Sun in the ultraviolet range. The results demonstrate that the accuracy of 3- to 4-day forecasting of EORB RE fluxes significantly increases if the training parameters are supplemented by the values of low-orbit, solar wind velocity forecasted based on the processing of images of the Sun in the UV range taken by the AIA device of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO).