Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less responsive to climatic variation

Bailey, L.D.; van de Pol, M.; Adriaensen, F.; Arct, A.; Barba, E.; Bellamy, P.E.; Bouvier, J.; Burgess, M.D.; Charmantier, A.; Cusimano, C.; Doligez, B.; Drobniak, S.M.; Dubiec, A.; Eens, M.; Eeva, T.; Ferns, P.N.; Goodenough, A.E.; Hartley, I.R.; Hinsley, S.A.; Ivankina, E.; Juskaitis, R.; Kempenaers, B.; Kerimov, A.B.; Lavigne, C.; Leivits, A.; Mainwaring, M.C.; Matthysen, E.; Nilsson, J.; Orell, M.; Rytkönen, S.; Senar, J.C.; Sheldon, B.C.; Sorace, A.; Stenning, M.J.; Török, J.; Vatka, E.; Vriend Stefan, J.G.; Visser, M.E.

Авторы: Bailey Liam D., van de Pol Martijn, Adriaensen Frank, Arct Aneta, Barba Emilio, Bellamy Paul E., Bouvier Jean-Charles, Burgess Malcolm D., Charmantier Anne, Cusimano Camillo, Doligez Blandine, Drobniak Szymon M., Dubiec Anna, Eens Marcel, Eeva Tapio, Ferns Peter N., Goodenough Anne E., Hartley Ian R., Hinsley Shelley A., Ivankina Elena, Juskaitis Rimvydas, Kempenaers Bart, Kerimov Anvar B., Lavigne Claire, Leivits Agu, Mainwaring Mark C., Matthysen Erik, Nilsson Jan-Åke, Orell Markku, Rytkönen Seppo, Senar Juan Carlos, Sheldon Ben C., Sorace Alberto, Stenning Martyn J., Török János, Vatka Emma, Vriend Stefan J.G., Visser Marcel E.
Журнал: Nature communications
Том: 13
Номер: 2112
Год издания: 2022
Издательство: Nature Pub. Group
Местоположение издательства: United Kingdom
Первая страница: 1
Последняя страница: 10
Номер статьи: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29635-4
Аннотация: The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' range. We document large intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity to temperature using laying date information from 67 populations of two European songbirds covering a large part of their breeding range. Populations inhabiting deciduous habitats showed stronger phenological sensitivity compared with those in evergreen and mixed habitats. Strikingly, however, the lowest sensitivity was seen in populations that had experienced the greatest change in climate. Therefore, we predict that the strongest phenological advancement will not occur in those populations with the highest sensitivity. Our results show that to effectively assess the impact of climate change on phenology across a species range it will be necessary to account for intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity, climate change exposure, and the ecological characteristics of a population.
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Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less responsive to climatic variationстатья

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