Methodology for Assessing and Predicting the Rate of Production for the Construction Industry of the Russian FederationстатьяИсследовательская статьяЭлектронная публикацияГлава в книге
Аннотация:The article developed a methodology for assessing the rate of production for the construction industry and their forecasting in the Russian Federation, which allows considering factors with a heterogeneous metric. For this, an index analysis of seventeen indicators was carried out, divided into three groups according to the degree of their influence, an integral indicator characterizing their changes was calculated, and the rates of production for the construction industry of the Russian Federation were determined. Further, using the Excel program, a forecast of the development of production processes for the construction industry of the Russian Federation until 2022 is presented according to three scenarios: optimistic, probabilistic and pessimistic. Studies have shown that the optimistic and probabilistic scenarios are more likely to be realized.